"We are frequently in error but rarely in doubt." Dr Ellen Langer
Harvard Professor of Social Psychology Langer studies the illusion of control and decision-making, amongst other topics.
Her quote above reminded me of the well studied concept of 'optimism bias', i.e. we tend to overestimate the probability of positive events and underestimate the probability of negative events happening to us in the future.
Not a bad bias to have surely after all the challenges facing the world this year?
True that is... but not entirely true.
Does that mean we should expect the worst and hope for the best?
No according to Langer for two reasons.
1) We often get what we 'expect' so be careful where you allow your mind to focus.
2) And 'hope' when akin to wishful thinking won't help. You need a plan.